Value bet: FC Cincinnati to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultInter Miami to win ✓46% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.33
FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees FC Cincinnati take on Inter Miami on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati are 9th with 46 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Inter Miami sit 2nd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Cincinnati's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Charlotte 2–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Inter Miami's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Orlando City SC 3–4 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.8 for FC Cincinnati and 2.1 for Inter Miami. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Cincinnati 35%, draw 19%, Inter Miami 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.33.
Value angle: FC Cincinnati to win at 3.00 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: FC Cincinnati 1–2 Inter Miami. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Cincinnati35%fair 2.83 · @3.00
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @4.10
Inter Miami46%fair 2.17 · @2.02
3.84Expected goals
1.78FC Cincinnati xG
2.06Inter Miami xG
69%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: FC Cincinnati 1.8 – 2.1 Inter Miami expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter Miami to win✓
46%
2.17
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Half-time result
Inter Miami ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter Miami / FT Inter Miami✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.33
–
Form
FC Cincinnati – last 6
DWWDDL
10 May
@ Charlotte
2–2
D
3 May
@ Chicago Fire
3–2
W
26 Apr
vs New York Red Bulls
2–0
W
23 Apr
@ New York City FC
4–4
D
19 Apr
vs Chicago Fire
3–3
D
5 Apr
@ New York Red Bulls
2–4
L
2.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Inter Miami – last 6
LDWDDD
3 May
vs Orlando City SC
3–4
L
26 Apr
vs New England Revolution
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Real Salt Lake
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs New York Red Bulls
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Austin
2–2
D
19 Mar
vs Nashville SC
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami.
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
On our numbers FC Cincinnati have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Inter Miami 46%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 1–2 Inter Miami, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?
FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at TQL Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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