San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Jose Earthquakes to win ✓42% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees San Jose Earthquakes take on San Diego on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 03:30 (WAT) at PayPal Park. San Jose Earthquakes are 4th with 52 points from 34 games (in the top four), while San Diego sit 13th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Jose Earthquakes's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Vancouver Whitecaps 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 0.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Diego's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Real Salt Lake 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
San Jose Earthquakes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.4 for San Diego. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Jose Earthquakes 42%, draw 21%, San Diego 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 San Diego. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Jose Earthquakes42%fair 2.36 · @2.22
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.80
San Diego36%fair 2.75 · @2.82
2.87Expected goals
1.50San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.37San Diego xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.5 – 1.4 San Diego expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Jose Earthquakes to win✓
42%
2.36
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Jose Earthquakes / FT San Jose Earthquakes✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.44
–
Form
San Jose Earthquakes – last 5
WLWWW
22 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Seattle Sounders
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Philadelphia Union
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Atlanta United FC
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Sporting Kansas City
3–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
San Diego – last 6
DLDWWW
23 Mar
vs Real Salt Lake
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Toluca
0–4
L
15 Mar
@ FC Dallas
3–3
D
12 Mar
vs Toluca
3–2
W
8 Mar
@ Sporting Kansas City
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs St. Louis City
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Jose Earthquakes and San Diego.
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and San Diego 36%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 San Diego, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?
San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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