Value bet: Charlotte to win @ 2.12 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte to win ✓50% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.00
Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Charlotte take on Philadelphia Union on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Bank of America Stadium. Charlotte are 5th with 54 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Philadelphia Union sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Charlotte's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat New York Red Bulls 6–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Philadelphia Union's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Club America 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Charlotte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Charlotte and 1.2 for Philadelphia Union. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte 50%, draw 21%, Philadelphia Union 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Charlotte to win at 2.12 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Charlotte 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte50%fair 1.99 · @2.12
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Philadelphia Union29%fair 3.44 · @3.20
2.79Expected goals
1.63Charlotte xG
1.16Philadelphia Union xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Charlotte 1.6 – 1.2 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte to win✓
50%
1.99
2.12 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte / FT Charlotte✓
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.00
–
Form
Charlotte – last 4
WDWL
22 Mar
vs New York Red Bulls
6–1
W
15 Mar
vs Inter Miami
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Austin
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
0–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
DLLWLW
19 Mar
@ Club America
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Club America
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Defence Force
7–0
W
22 Feb
@ DC United
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Defence Force
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Charlotte have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Philadelphia Union 29%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Charlotte 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?
Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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