Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 5 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultNashville SC to win ✗45% · @2.88

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37

Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC preview and prediction

The match

Chicago Fire host Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Soldier Field. Chicago Fire are 4th with 55 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Nashville SC sit 1st on 77 points (top of the table). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Chicago Fire's last 4: LDDL Most recently they lost to Orlando City II 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Nashville SC's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Orlando City SC 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Nashville SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Chicago Fire and 1.5 for Nashville SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Chicago Fire 33%, draw 22%, Nashville SC 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Nashville SC to win at 2.88 – 45% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Chicago Fire 1–1 Nashville SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Chicago Fire33%fair 3.02 · @2.44

Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20

Nashville SC45%fair 2.24 · @2.88

2.74Expected goals

1.25Chicago Fire xG

1.50Nashville SC xG

60%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

0–110%

1–29%

1–08%

2–17%

0–27%

From our goals model: Chicago Fire 1.2 – 1.5 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Nashville SC to win ✗	45%	2.24	2.88 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.29	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.67	1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.92	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	1.38
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.40	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC ✗	25%	3.93	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	10%	10.37	–

Form

Chicago Fire – last 4

LDDL

9 Mar	@ Orlando City II	1–2	L
8 Mar	@ Columbus Crew	0–0	D
28 Feb	@ Inter Miami II	1–1	D
22 Feb	@ Houston Dynamo	1–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

75%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Nashville SC – last 6

WDWDWD

21 Mar	vs Orlando City SC	5–0	W
19 Mar	@ Inter Miami	1–1	D
14 Mar	@ Columbus Crew	1–0	W
12 Mar	vs Inter Miami	0–0	D
8 Mar	vs Minnesota United FC	3–1	W
1 Mar	@ FC Dallas	0–0	D

1.7Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?

On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nashville SC 45%.

How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?

Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 1–1 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?

Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes