Value bet: Canada to win @ 3.35 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwitzerland to win ✓39% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.66
Switzerland vs Canada preview and prediction
The match
Switzerland host Canada in the World Cup on Wednesday 24 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at BC Place.
Form guide
Switzerland's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Canada's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Qatar 6–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Switzerland and 1.5 for Canada. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Value angle: Canada to win at 3.35 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.35, above our fair price of 1.32, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Switzerland 1–1 Canada. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Switzerland39%fair 2.57 · @2.26
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.05
Canada36%fair 2.80 · @3.35
3.13Expected goals
1.60Switzerland xG
1.53Canada xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Switzerland 1.6 – 1.5 Canada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Switzerland to win✓
39%
2.57
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.77 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Switzerland / FT Switzerland✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.66
–
Form
Switzerland – last 6
WDDWDL
18 Jun
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
4–1
W
13 Jun
@ Qatar
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Australia
1–1
D
31 May
vs Jordan
4–1
W
31 Mar
@ Norway
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Germany
3–4
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Canada – last 5
WDDWD
18 Jun
vs Qatar
6–0
W
12 Jun
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Rep. Of Ireland
1–1
D
2 Jun
vs Uzbekistan
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Tunisia
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Switzerland and Canada.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Switzerland vs Canada?
On our numbers Switzerland have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Canada 36%.
How many goals will there be in Switzerland vs Canada?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Canada?
Our predicted score is Switzerland 1–1 Canada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Switzerland vs Canada?
Switzerland vs Canada (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at BC Place.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Panama0
Croatia1
Colombia1
Congo DR0
Bosnia & Herzegovina3
Qatar1
Morocco4
Haiti2
Scotland0
Brazil3