Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMorocco to win ✓76% · @1.17
Double chanceMorocco or draw ✓94% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗18% · fair 5.62
Morocco vs Haiti preview and prediction
The match
The World Cup sees Morocco take on Haiti on Wednesday 24 June, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Form guide
Morocco's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Scotland 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Haiti's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Brazil 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Morocco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 2.0 for Morocco and 0.4 for Haiti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Morocco 76%, draw 18%, Haiti 6%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Morocco 2–0 Haiti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Morocco76%fair 1.32 · @1.17
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @6.75
Haiti6%fair 16.42 · @15.00
2.46Expected goals
2.04Morocco xG
0.42Haiti xG
45%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–018%
1–017%
3–012%
0–09%
2–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Morocco 2.0 – 0.4 Haiti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morocco to win✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Double chance
Morocco or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.60 ▲
Half-time result
Morocco ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morocco / FT Morocco✗
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
18%
5.62
–
Form
Morocco – last 6
WDDWWD
19 Jun
@ Scotland
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Brazil
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Norway
1–1
D
2 Jun
vs Madagascar
4–0
W
31 Mar
vs Paraguay
2–1
W
27 Mar
vs Ecuador
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Haiti – last 6
LLLWDL
20 Jun
@ Brazil
0–3
L
14 Jun
vs Scotland
0–1
L
6 Jun
vs Peru
1–2
L
3 Jun
vs New Zealand
4–0
W
31 Mar
vs Iceland
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Tunisia
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morocco and Haiti.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Morocco vs Haiti?
On our numbers Morocco have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Haiti 6%.
How many goals will there be in Morocco vs Haiti?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Haiti?
Our predicted score is Morocco 2–0 Haiti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Morocco vs Haiti?
Morocco vs Haiti (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Panama0
Croatia1
Colombia1
Congo DR0
Switzerland2
Canada1
Bosnia & Herzegovina3
Qatar1
Scotland0
Brazil3