Colombia vs Congo DR prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 55% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Colombia 1.9 – 0.8 Congo DR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Colombia are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 17% for Congo DR.
Colombia have taken 6 points from their last 4 matches (2W 0D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Congo DR have 3 points from their last 4 (0W 3D 1L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Colombia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Colombia, 0.8 for Congo DR). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.38 is close to our fair price of 1.39. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.15 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Colombia to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | Colombia or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Colombia ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Colombia / FT Colombia ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 13% | 7.98 | – |
Form
Colombia – last 4
| 18 Jun | @ Uzbekistan | 3–1 | W |
| 8 Jun | vs Jordan | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | vs France | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs Croatia | 1–2 | L |
Congo DR – last 4
| 17 Jun | @ Portugal | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Jun | vs Chile | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Jun | vs Denmark | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Mar | vs Jamaica | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colombia and Congo DR.
More World Cup predictions
Panama0
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Canada1
Bosnia & Herzegovina3
Qatar1
Morocco4
Haiti2
Scotland0
Brazil3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Colombia vs Congo DR?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Colombia vs Congo DR?
On our numbers Colombia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Congo DR 17%.
How many goals will there be in Colombia vs Congo DR?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Colombia vs Congo DR?
Colombia vs Congo DR (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.