Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrazil to win ✓72% · @1.37
Double chanceBrazil or draw ✓92% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.12
Scotland vs Brazil preview and prediction
The match
The World Cup sees Scotland take on Brazil on Wednesday 24 June, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Hard Rock Stadium.
Form guide
Scotland's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Morocco 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Brazil's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Haiti 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.4 for Scotland and 1.8 for Brazil. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Scotland 8%, draw 20%, Brazil 72%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.93 – 55% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Scotland 0–1 Brazil. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Scotland8%fair 12.50 · @8.30
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @4.55
Brazil72%fair 1.38 · @1.37
2.23Expected goals
0.41Scotland xG
1.82Brazil xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–218%
0–311%
0–011%
1–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Scotland 0.4 – 1.8 Brazil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brazil to win✓
72%
1.38
1.37
Double chance
Brazil or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Half-time result
Brazil ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brazil / FT Brazil✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.12
–
Form
Scotland – last 5
LWWWL
19 Jun
vs Morocco
0–1
L
14 Jun
@ Haiti
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ Bolivia
4–0
W
30 May
vs Curaçao
4–1
W
31 Mar
vs Ivory Coast
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Brazil – last 6
WDWWWL
20 Jun
vs Haiti
3–0
W
13 Jun
vs Morocco
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Egypt
2–1
W
31 May
vs Panama
6–2
W
1 Apr
vs Croatia
3–1
W
26 Mar
vs France
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scotland and Brazil.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Scotland vs Brazil?
On our numbers Scotland have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Brazil 72%.
How many goals will there be in Scotland vs Brazil?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Scotland vs Brazil?
Our predicted score is Scotland 0–1 Brazil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Scotland vs Brazil?
Scotland vs Brazil (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Hard Rock Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Panama0
Croatia1
Colombia1
Congo DR0
Switzerland2
Canada1
Bosnia & Herzegovina3
Qatar1
Morocco4
Haiti2