Iran travel to SoFi Stadium in the World Cup on Sunday 21 June (20:00 WAT) to face Belgium.
Form guide
Belgium's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with Egypt 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Iran's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with New Zealand 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Belgium and 0.9 for Iran. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Belgium 65%, draw 19%, Iran 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Belgium 2–0 Iran. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Belgium65%fair 1.55 · @1.42
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.35
Iran16%fair 6.24 · @7.30
2.89Expected goals
2.02Belgium xG
0.87Iran xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Belgium 2.0 – 0.9 Iran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belgium to win✗
65%
1.55
1.42
Double chance
Belgium or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Half-time result
Belgium ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belgium / FT Belgium✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.84
–
Form
Belgium – last 4
DWWD
15 Jun
vs Egypt
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Tunisia
5–0
W
2 Jun
@ Croatia
2–0
W
1 Apr
@ Mexico
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Iran – last 4
DWWL
16 Jun
vs New Zealand
2–2
D
29 May
vs Gambia
3–1
W
31 Mar
@ Costa Rica
5–0
W
27 Mar
vs Nigeria
1–2
L
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belgium and Iran.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Belgium vs Iran?
On our numbers Belgium have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Iran 16%.
How many goals will there be in Belgium vs Iran?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Iran?
Our predicted score is Belgium 2–0 Iran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Belgium vs Iran?
Belgium vs Iran (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at SoFi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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