Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 53% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpain to win ✗78% · @1.11
Double chanceSpain or draw ✓91% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.38
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.49
Spain vs Cape Verde Islands preview and prediction
The match
The World Cup sees Spain take on Cape Verde Islands on Monday 15 June, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Form guide
Spain's last 4: WDDW Most recently they beat Peru 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cape Verde Islands's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Bermuda 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.8 for Spain and 0.8 for Cape Verde Islands. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.38 – 53% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Spain 3–0 Cape Verde Islands. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spain78%fair 1.28 · @1.11
Draw13%fair 7.65 · @9.50
Cape Verde Islands9%fair 11.48 · @19.00
3.60Expected goals
2.77Spain xG
0.82Cape Verde Islands xG
53%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–08%
4–07%
From our goals model: Spain 2.8 – 0.8 Cape Verde Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain to win✗
78%
1.28
1.11
Double chance
Spain or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.38 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Half-time result
Spain ahead at half-time✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain / FT Spain✗
55%
1.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.49
–
Form
Spain – last 4
WDDW
9 Jun
@ Peru
3–1
W
4 Jun
vs Iraq
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Egypt
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Serbia
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cape Verde Islands – last 3
WWL
6 Jun
vs Bermuda
3–0
W
31 May
vs Serbia
3–0
W
27 Mar
@ Chile
2–4
L
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spain and Cape Verde Islands.
What is the prediction for Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?
On our numbers Spain have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Cape Verde Islands 9%.
How many goals will there be in Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?
Our predicted score is Spain 3–0 Cape Verde Islands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?
Spain vs Cape Verde Islands (World Cup) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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