Belgium vs Egypt prediction & analysis
Belgium to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.63 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Belgium 1.9 – 0.7 Egypt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Belgium are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 12% for Egypt.
Belgium have taken 7 points from their last 3 matches (2W 1D 0L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.3 per game. Egypt have 7 points from their last 4 (2W 1D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.9 for Belgium, 0.7 for Egypt). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Belgium to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.63 is better than our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Belgium to win ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.63 ▲ |
| Double chance | Belgium or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.93 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Belgium ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Belgium / FT Belgium ✗ | 44% | 2.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.00 | – |
Form
Belgium – last 3
| 6 Jun | vs Tunisia | 5–0 | W |
| 2 Jun | @ Croatia | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Apr | @ Mexico | 1–1 | D |
Egypt – last 4
| 6 Jun | @ Brazil | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | vs Russia | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Spain | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Mar | @ Saudi Arabia | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belgium and Egypt.
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What is the prediction for Belgium vs Egypt?
Our pick is Belgium to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.
Who will win Belgium vs Egypt?
On our numbers Belgium have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Egypt 12%.
How many goals will there be in Belgium vs Egypt?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Belgium vs Egypt?
Belgium vs Egypt (World Cup) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Lumen Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.