Ivory Coast vs Ecuador prediction & analysis
Ecuador or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Draw @ 2.84 – our chance 58% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +64%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ivory Coast 0.9 – 1.1 Ecuador expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ecuador shade it despite being away from home – 25% to win, against 17% for Ivory Coast, with the draw at 58%.
Ivory Coast have taken 6 points from their last 2 matches (2W 0D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. Ecuador have 8 points from their last 4 (2W 2D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Ivory Coast come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.0 goals (0.9 for Ivory Coast, 1.1 for Ecuador). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Ecuador or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is better than our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Draw at 2.84 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 2.84 ▲ |
| Double chance | Ecuador or draw ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.28 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 2.20 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ecuador / FT Ecuador ✗ | 22% | 4.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.44 | – |
Form
Ivory Coast – last 2
| 4 Jun | @ France | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Scotland | 1–0 | W |
Ecuador – last 4
| 7 Jun | vs Guatemala | 3–0 | W |
| 31 May | vs Saudi Arabia | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Netherlands | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Mar | @ Morocco | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ivory Coast and Ecuador.
More World Cup predictions
Sweden5
Tunisia1
Spain0
Cape Verde Islands0
Belgium1
Egypt1
Saudi Arabia1
Uruguay1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Our pick is Ecuador or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
On our numbers Ivory Coast have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 58% and Ecuador 25%.
How many goals will there be in Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador (World Cup) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Lincoln Financial Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.