Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Saudi Arabia 0.7 – 1.9 Uruguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Uruguay travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 11% for Saudi Arabia.
Saudi Arabia have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches (1W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 per game. Uruguay have 2 points from their last 2 (0W 2D 0L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (0.7 for Saudi Arabia, 1.9 for Uruguay). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–2 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.10 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Uruguay to win ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.49 |
| Double chance | Uruguay or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Uruguay ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Uruguay / FT Uruguay ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.75 | – |
Form
Saudi Arabia – last 5
| 10 Jun | vs Senegal | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Jun | @ Puerto Rico | 3–0 | W |
| 31 May | @ Ecuador | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ Serbia | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs Egypt | 0–4 | L |
Uruguay – last 2
| 31 Mar | @ Algeria | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Mar | @ England | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saudi Arabia and Uruguay.
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What is the prediction for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
On our numbers Saudi Arabia have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Uruguay 66%.
How many goals will there be in Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay (World Cup) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Hard Rock Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.