Both teams scoreNot both teams to score62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.08
AFC Leopards vs Police preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees AFC Leopards take on Police on Saturday 18 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Nyayo National Stadium.
Form guide
AFC Leopards's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Murang'a SEAL 2–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Police's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Mathare United 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AFC Leopards arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for AFC Leopards and 0.8 for Police. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Leopards 44%, draw 25%, Police 31%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: AFC Leopards 1–0 Police. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Leopards44%fair 2.27 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.70
Police31%fair 3.23 · @3.25
1.85Expected goals
1.05AFC Leopards xG
0.80Police xG
38%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: AFC Leopards 1.0 – 0.8 Police expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Leopards to win
44%
2.27
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.08
–
Form
AFC Leopards – last 6
WWWWWL
5 Apr
@ Murang'a SEAL
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Tusker
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Nairobi United
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Shabana
5–1
W
26 Feb
@ KCB
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Police – last 6
DWLWWD
14 Apr
@ Mathare United
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Tusker
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Bandari
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Sofapaka
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs APS Bomet
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Leopards and Police.
What is the prediction for AFC Leopards vs Police?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win AFC Leopards vs Police?
On our numbers AFC Leopards have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Police 31%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Leopards vs Police?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Leopards vs Police?
Our predicted score is AFC Leopards 1–0 Police, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is AFC Leopards vs Police?
AFC Leopards vs Police (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kariobangi Sharks0
Bidco United0