Mathare United vs Bidco United prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Bidco United to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMathare United to win44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.24
Mathare United vs Bidco United preview and prediction
The match
Bidco United travel to Moi International Sports Centre in the FKF Premier League on Saturday 18 April (12:00 WAT) to face Mathare United.
Form guide
Mathare United's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Police 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Bidco United's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to KCB 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Mathare United and 0.8 for Bidco United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mathare United 44%, draw 25%, Bidco United 31%.
Value angle: Bidco United to win at 3.70 – 31% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Mathare United 1–0 Bidco United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mathare United44%fair 2.26 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.75
Bidco United31%fair 3.23 · @3.70
1.91Expected goals
1.08Mathare United xG
0.83Bidco United xG
42%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mathare United 1.1 – 0.8 Bidco United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mathare United to win
44%
2.26
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
87%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mathare United / FT Mathare United
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.24
–
Form
Mathare United – last 5
DLDLD
14 Apr
vs Police
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Homeboyz
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ Murang'a SEAL
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Shabana
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Kariobangi Sharks
1–1
D
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Bidco United – last 6
LLDDWD
5 Apr
vs KCB
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Bandari
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Sofapaka
0–0
D
14 Mar
@ APS Bomet
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Mara Sugar
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mathare United and Bidco United.
What is the prediction for Mathare United vs Bidco United?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mathare United vs Bidco United?
On our numbers Mathare United have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bidco United 31%.
How many goals will there be in Mathare United vs Bidco United?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mathare United vs Bidco United?
Our predicted score is Mathare United 1–0 Bidco United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Mathare United vs Bidco United?
Mathare United vs Bidco United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Moi International Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kariobangi Sharks0
Police2