Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓16% · fair 6.20
Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar preview and prediction
The match
Kariobangi Sharks host Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League on Saturday 18 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Kasarani Annex Stadium.
Form guide
Kariobangi Sharks's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with GOR Mahia 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Mara Sugar's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Posta Rangers FC 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Kariobangi Sharks and 1.0 for Mara Sugar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kariobangi Sharks 34%, draw 24%, Mara Sugar 42%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Kariobangi Sharks 1–1 Mara Sugar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kariobangi Sharks34%fair 2.96 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.75
Mara Sugar42%fair 2.38 · @2.50
1.80Expected goals
0.82Kariobangi Sharks xG
0.98Mara Sugar xG
38%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Kariobangi Sharks 0.8 – 1.0 Mara Sugar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mara Sugar to win✓
42%
2.38
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.20
–
Form
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
DLLWLW
4 Apr
@ GOR Mahia
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Shabana
2–1
W
2 Mar
vs Tusker
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ APS Bomet
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mara Sugar – last 6
WDLDDW
6 Apr
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Nairobi United
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ KCB
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs APS Bomet
0–0
D
14 Mar
@ Bandari
0–0
D
2 Mar
vs Sofapaka
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kariobangi Sharks and Mara Sugar.
What is the prediction for Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar?
On our numbers Kariobangi Sharks have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mara Sugar 42%.
How many goals will there be in Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar?
Our predicted score is Kariobangi Sharks 1–1 Mara Sugar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar?
Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Kasarani Annex Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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