Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNairobi United to win ✗43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.89
APS Bomet vs Nairobi United preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees APS Bomet take on Nairobi United on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT) at Gusii Stadium. APS Bomet are 13th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Nairobi United sit 15th on 5 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
APS Bomet's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Mara Sugar 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Nairobi United's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Ulinzi Stars 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Nairobi United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for APS Bomet and 1.2 for Nairobi United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: APS Bomet 34%, draw 24%, Nairobi United 43%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: APS Bomet 1–1 Nairobi United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
APS Bomet34%fair 2.97 · @2.85
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.85
Nairobi United43%fair 2.34 · @2.40
2.27Expected goals
1.04APS Bomet xG
1.23Nairobi United xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: APS Bomet 1.0 – 1.2 Nairobi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nairobi United to win✗
43%
2.34
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nairobi United / FT Nairobi United✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.89
–
Form
APS Bomet – last 6
DDLLDL
21 Mar
@ Mara Sugar
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Bidco United
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Homeboyz
1–2
L
26 Feb
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Police
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs GOR Mahia
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nairobi United – last 6
LLWDDW
22 Mar
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–2
L
18 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
14 Mar
@ Sofapaka
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs KCB
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Bandari
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Bidco United
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APS Bomet and Nairobi United.
What is the prediction for APS Bomet vs Nairobi United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win APS Bomet vs Nairobi United?
On our numbers APS Bomet have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nairobi United 43%.
How many goals will there be in APS Bomet vs Nairobi United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APS Bomet vs Nairobi United?
Our predicted score is APS Bomet 1–1 Nairobi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is APS Bomet vs Nairobi United?
APS Bomet vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Gusii Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sofapaka0
Kariobangi Sharks0