FKF Premier League · Kenya · Gusii StadiumShabana vs Murang'a SEAL prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Murang'a SEAL to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Shabana 1.3 – 1.0 Murang'a SEAL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Shabana hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 31% for Murang'a SEAL.
Shabana have taken 6 points from their last 4 matches (2W 0D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Murang'a SEAL have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.3 for Shabana, 1.0 for Murang'a SEAL). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.56. For a bigger price, Murang'a SEAL to win at 3.50 is our value angle (31% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Shabana to win ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Shabana / FT Shabana ✓ | 25% | 3.93 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 13% | 7.94 | – |
Form
Shabana – last 4
| 15 Mar | vs Kariobangi Sharks | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Mar | @ AFC Leopards | 1–5 | L |
| 25 Feb | @ Mathare United | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Feb | vs Tusker | 1–0 | W |
Murang'a SEAL – last 6
| 22 Mar | vs Mathare United | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | @ KCB | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Mar | vs Posta Rangers FC | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | @ Tusker | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | vs Bandari | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Feb | @ Sofapaka | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shabana and Murang'a SEAL.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League hub
Sofapaka0
Kariobangi Sharks0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?
On our numbers Shabana have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Murang'a SEAL 31%.
How many goals will there be in Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?
Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Gusii Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.