Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUlinzi Stars to win ✓61% · @1.90
Double chanceUlinzi Stars or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.27
Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka preview and prediction
The match
Sofapaka travel to Ulinzi Sports Complex in the FKF Premier League on Sunday 29 March (13:00 WAT) to face Ulinzi Stars.
Form guide
Ulinzi Stars's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Nairobi United 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sofapaka's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Bidco United 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Ulinzi Stars arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Ulinzi Stars and 0.6 for Sofapaka. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Ulinzi Stars to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ulinzi Stars 1–0 Sofapaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ulinzi Stars61%fair 1.65 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.00
Sofapaka14%fair 7.30 · @3.90
2.08Expected goals
1.52Ulinzi Stars xG
0.56Sofapaka xG
39%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 1.5 – 0.6 Sofapaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ulinzi Stars to win✓
61%
1.65
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Ulinzi Stars or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ulinzi Stars / FT Ulinzi Stars✓
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.27
–
Form
Ulinzi Stars – last 6
WLLDLD
22 Mar
@ Nairobi United
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs GOR Mahia
1–3
L
2 Mar
@ Bidco United
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Homeboyz
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Police
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sofapaka – last 6
DLLLLL
21 Mar
@ Bidco United
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Nairobi United
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Mara Sugar
1–3
L
26 Feb
vs Police
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Homeboyz
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and Sofapaka.
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
Our pick is Ulinzi Stars to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sofapaka 14%.
How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 1–0 Sofapaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulinzi Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kariobangi Sharks0