FKF Premier League · Kenya · Nyayo National Stadium
AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks prediction & analysis
AFC Leopards to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AFC Leopards 1.5 – 0.5 Kariobangi Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
AFC Leopards are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 16% for Kariobangi Sharks.
AFC Leopards have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. Kariobangi Sharks have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. AFC Leopards come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.5 for AFC Leopards, 0.5 for Kariobangi Sharks). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is AFC Leopards to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | AFC Leopards to win ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | AFC Leopards or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT AFC Leopards / FT AFC Leopards ✗ | 36% | 2.75 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 19% | 5.13 | – |
Form
AFC Leopards – last 6
| 22 Mar | vs Tusker | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | vs Nairobi United | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | vs Shabana | 5–1 | W |
| 26 Feb | @ KCB | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | vs Posta Rangers FC | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Feb | @ Bandari | 0–0 | D |
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
| 22 Mar | vs Posta Rangers FC | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | @ Shabana | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Mar | vs Tusker | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | @ APS Bomet | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Feb | vs Mathare United | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | @ KCB | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Leopards and Kariobangi Sharks.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League hub
Sofapaka0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our pick is AFC Leopards to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?
On our numbers AFC Leopards have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kariobangi Sharks 16%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
When is AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?
AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.