Both teams scoreNot both teams to score60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.94
GOR Mahia vs Shabana preview and prediction
The match
Shabana travel to Moi International Sports Centre in the FKF Premier League on Saturday 21 March (14:00 WAT) to face GOR Mahia. GOR Mahia are 1st with 13 points from 6 games (top of the table), while Shabana sit 5th on 9 points (in the top half).
Form guide
GOR Mahia's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Ulinzi Stars 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Shabana's last 4: LLWW Most recently they lost to Kariobangi Sharks 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
GOR Mahia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for GOR Mahia and 0.6 for Shabana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 40%.
Betting angles
Win chances: GOR Mahia 65%, draw 21%, Shabana 14%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was GOR Mahia to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: GOR Mahia 1–0 Shabana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GOR Mahia65%fair 1.54 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.20
Shabana14%fair 7.32 · @5.00
2.32Expected goals
1.71GOR Mahia xG
0.61Shabana xG
40%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.7 – 0.6 Shabana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GOR Mahia to win
65%
1.54
1.67 ▲
Double chance
GOR Mahia or draw
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.26
–
Half-time result
GOR Mahia ahead at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.94
–
Form
GOR Mahia – last 4
WDWW
15 Mar
@ Ulinzi Stars
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs KCB
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ APS Bomet
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Shabana – last 4
LLWW
15 Mar
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
1–5
L
25 Feb
@ Mathare United
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Tusker
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GOR Mahia and Shabana.
Our pick is GOR Mahia to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Shabana?
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shabana 14%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Shabana?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GOR Mahia vs Shabana?
Our predicted score is GOR Mahia 1–0 Shabana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is GOR Mahia vs Shabana?
GOR Mahia vs Shabana (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Moi International Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bidco United0
Sofapaka0
Police2