Both teams scoreNot both teams to score60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.91
Police vs KCB preview and prediction
The match
Police host KCB in the FKF Premier League on Saturday 21 March, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Police Sacco Stadium.
Form guide
Police's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Posta Rangers FC 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
KCB's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Murang'a SEAL 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Police and 0.8 for KCB. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Police 49%, draw 23%, KCB 29%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Police 1–0 KCB. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Police49%fair 2.05 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
KCB29%fair 3.48 · @3.60
1.91Expected goals
1.14Police xG
0.77KCB xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Police 1.1 – 0.8 KCB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Police to win
49%
2.05
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Police / FT Police
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.91
–
Form
Police – last 5
LWWDD
13 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Bandari
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Sofapaka
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs APS Bomet
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
KCB – last 5
DDWLD
15 Mar
vs Murang'a SEAL
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Nairobi United
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs AFC Leopards
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ GOR Mahia
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Police and KCB.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Police vs KCB?
On our numbers Police have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and KCB 29%.
How many goals will there be in Police vs KCB?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police vs KCB?
Our predicted score is Police 1–0 KCB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Police vs KCB?
Police vs KCB (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Police Sacco Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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