Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBidco United to win ✗64% · @1.90
Double chanceBidco United or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.76
Bidco United vs Sofapaka preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees Bidco United take on Sofapaka on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Kenyatta Stadium.
Form guide
Bidco United's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with APS Bomet 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sofapaka's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Nairobi United 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Bidco United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Bidco United and 0.5 for Sofapaka. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bidco United 64%, draw 22%, Sofapaka 14%.
Safer route: Bidco United or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bidco United to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bidco United 1–0 Sofapaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bidco United64%fair 1.57 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @2.90
Sofapaka14%fair 7.12 · @4.00
1.94Expected goals
1.46Bidco United xG
0.48Sofapaka xG
39%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
3–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bidco United 1.5 – 0.5 Sofapaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bidco United to win✗
64%
1.57
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Bidco United or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bidco United / FT Bidco United✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.76
–
Form
Bidco United – last 5
DWDLL
14 Mar
@ APS Bomet
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Mara Sugar
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Nairobi United
0–3
L
13 Feb
vs Homeboyz
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sofapaka – last 5
LLLLL
14 Mar
vs Nairobi United
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Mara Sugar
1–3
L
26 Feb
vs Police
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Homeboyz
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–3
L
0.6Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bidco United and Sofapaka.
What is the prediction for Bidco United vs Sofapaka?
Our pick is Bidco United to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Bidco United vs Sofapaka?
On our numbers Bidco United have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sofapaka 14%.
How many goals will there be in Bidco United vs Sofapaka?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bidco United vs Sofapaka?
Our predicted score is Bidco United 1–0 Sofapaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Bidco United vs Sofapaka?
Bidco United vs Sofapaka (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kenyatta Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mara Sugar0
APS Bomet0
Police2
KCB1
GOR Mahia0
Shabana0