Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMurang'a SEAL to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United preview and prediction
The match
Murang'a SEAL host Mathare United in the FKF Premier League on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at SportPesa Arena. Murang'a SEAL are 8th with 8 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Mathare United sit 16th on 5 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Murang'a SEAL's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with KCB 1–1 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Murang'a SEAL and 0.9 for Mathare United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Murang'a SEAL 47%, draw 22%, Mathare United 30%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Murang'a SEAL 1–0 Mathare United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Murang'a SEAL47%fair 2.12 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Mathare United30%fair 3.30 · @3.25
2.13Expected goals
1.23Murang'a SEAL xG
0.90Mathare United xG
44%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 1.2 – 0.9 Mathare United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Murang'a SEAL to win✗
47%
2.12
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Murang'a SEAL / FT Murang'a SEAL✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.85
–
Form
Murang'a SEAL – last 5
DWLLW
15 Mar
@ KCB
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ Tusker
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Bandari
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Sofapaka
3–2
W
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Mathare United – last 2
LD
25 Feb
vs Shabana
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Kariobangi Sharks
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murang'a SEAL and Mathare United.
What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mathare United 30%.
How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
Our predicted score is Murang'a SEAL 1–0 Mathare United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at SportPesa Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kariobangi Sharks1