Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNairobi United to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceNairobi United or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.79
Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees Nairobi United take on Ulinzi Stars on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Nyayo National Stadium. Nairobi United are 15th with 5 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Ulinzi Stars sit 14th on 6 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nairobi United's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to AFC Leopards 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ulinzi Stars's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to GOR Mahia 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nairobi United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Nairobi United and 0.7 for Ulinzi Stars. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nairobi United 57%, draw 24%, Ulinzi Stars 19%.
Safer route: Nairobi United or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Nairobi United 1–0 Ulinzi Stars. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nairobi United57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Ulinzi Stars19%fair 5.39 · @3.90
2.13Expected goals
1.46Nairobi United xG
0.68Ulinzi Stars xG
41%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
0–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Nairobi United 1.5 – 0.7 Ulinzi Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nairobi United to win✗
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Nairobi United or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nairobi United / FT Nairobi United✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.79
–
Form
Nairobi United – last 6
LWDDWL
18 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
14 Mar
@ Sofapaka
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs KCB
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Bandari
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Bidco United
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Maniema Union
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ulinzi Stars – last 5
LLDLD
15 Mar
vs GOR Mahia
1–3
L
2 Mar
@ Bidco United
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Homeboyz
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Police
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nairobi United and Ulinzi Stars.
What is the prediction for Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
On our numbers Nairobi United have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ulinzi Stars 19%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our predicted score is Nairobi United 1–0 Ulinzi Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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