Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Homeboyz to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHomeboyz to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceHomeboyz or draw ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.38
Homeboyz vs Bandari preview and prediction
The match
Homeboyz host Bandari in the FKF Premier League on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Bukhungu Stadium. Homeboyz are 17th with 5 points from 5 games (in the bottom three), while Bandari sit 9th on 7 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Homeboyz's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Tusker 0–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Bandari's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Mara Sugar 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Homeboyz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Homeboyz and 0.6 for Bandari. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Homeboyz 60%, draw 21%, Bandari 19%.
Safer route: Homeboyz or draw (81%) at 1.14.
Value angle: Homeboyz to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Homeboyz 1–0 Bandari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Homeboyz60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.00
Bandari19%fair 5.26 · @4.33
2.04Expected goals
1.42Homeboyz xG
0.61Bandari xG
41%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–013%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Homeboyz 1.4 – 0.6 Bandari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Homeboyz to win✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Homeboyz or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Homeboyz / FT Homeboyz✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.38
–
Form
Homeboyz – last 5
LWDWW
15 Mar
@ Tusker
0–2
L
2 Mar
vs APS Bomet
2–1
W
26 Feb
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Sofapaka
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Bidco United
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Bandari – last 5
DLDWD
14 Mar
vs Mara Sugar
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Police
0–2
L
25 Feb
vs Nairobi United
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Murang'a SEAL
3–2
W
14 Feb
vs AFC Leopards
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Homeboyz and Bandari.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Homeboyz vs Bandari?
On our numbers Homeboyz have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bandari 19%.
How many goals will there be in Homeboyz vs Bandari?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Homeboyz vs Bandari?
Our predicted score is Homeboyz 1–0 Bandari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Homeboyz vs Bandari?
Homeboyz vs Bandari (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Bukhungu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kariobangi Sharks1