Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Calvo Sotelo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCalvo Sotelo to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceCalvo Sotelo or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.87
Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón preview and prediction
The match
Tarancón travel to Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 on Sunday 15 March (17:00 WAT) to face Calvo Sotelo.
Form guide
Calvo Sotelo's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Pedroñeras 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Calvo Sotelo and 0.6 for Tarancón. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 42%.
Value angle: Calvo Sotelo to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Calvo Sotelo or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Calvo Sotelo 1–0 Tarancón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Calvo Sotelo63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.00
Tarancón15%fair 6.68 · @3.60
2.27Expected goals
1.64Calvo Sotelo xG
0.62Tarancón xG
42%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Calvo Sotelo 1.6 – 0.6 Tarancón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Calvo Sotelo to win✓
63%
1.58
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Calvo Sotelo or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Calvo Sotelo / FT Calvo Sotelo✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.87
–
Form
Calvo Sotelo – last 4
DWWL
8 Mar
@ Pedroñeras
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Sonseca
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs San Clemente
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Villacañas
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tarancón – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Illescas
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Calvo Sotelo and Tarancón.
What is the prediction for Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón?
Our pick is Calvo Sotelo or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón?
On our numbers Calvo Sotelo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tarancón 15%.
How many goals will there be in Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón?
Our predicted score is Calvo Sotelo 1–0 Tarancón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón?
Calvo Sotelo vs Tarancón (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
