Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.25
La Solana vs Toledo preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 18 sees La Solana take on Toledo on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio La Moheda. La Solana are 14th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Toledo sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
La Solana's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Cazalegas 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Toledo's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with Sonseca 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Toledo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.5 for La Solana and 1.7 for Toledo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: La Solana 14%, draw 17%, Toledo 69%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Toledo to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: La Solana 0–1 Toledo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
La Solana14%fair 7.25 · @13.00
Draw17%fair 5.83 · @4.75
Toledo69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
2.17Expected goals
0.50La Solana xG
1.66Toledo xG
40%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–216%
0–011%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: La Solana 0.5 – 1.7 Toledo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toledo to win✗
69%
1.45
1.22
Double chance
Toledo or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toledo / FT Toledo✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.25
–
Form
La Solana – last 3
LLD
8 Mar
@ Cazalegas
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Huracán Balazote
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Guadalajara II
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Toledo – last 4
DWWW
8 Mar
@ Sonseca
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Cazalegas
6–0
W
22 Feb
@ Huracán Balazote
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Guadalajara II
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Solana and Toledo.
Our pick is Toledo to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win La Solana vs Toledo?
On our numbers La Solana have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Toledo 69%.
How many goals will there be in La Solana vs Toledo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Solana vs Toledo?
Our predicted score is La Solana 0–1 Toledo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is La Solana vs Toledo?
La Solana vs Toledo (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Moheda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Calvo Sotelo2