Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSomozas to win ✓47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.62
Somozas vs Alondras preview and prediction
The match
Somozas host Alondras in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 on Thursday 2 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia. Somozas are 13th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Alondras sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Somozas's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Arosa 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Alondras's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Cambados 3–3 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Somozas and 1.0 for Alondras. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Somozas 47%, draw 22%, Alondras 31%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Somozas 1–0 Alondras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Somozas47%fair 2.14 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Alondras31%fair 3.21 · @3.20
2.30Expected goals
1.31Somozas xG
0.99Alondras xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Somozas 1.3 – 1.0 Alondras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Somozas to win✓
47%
2.14
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Somozas / FT Somozas✓
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.62
–
Form
Somozas – last 5
LLWDD
29 Mar
@ Arosa
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Atlético Arteixo
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Noia
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Barbadás
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Polvorín
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Alondras – last 5
DLLDW
29 Mar
vs Cambados
3–3
D
22 Mar
@ Boiro
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Barco
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Estradense
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Coruña
3–2
W
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Somozas and Alondras.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Somozas vs Alondras?
On our numbers Somozas have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alondras 31%.
How many goals will there be in Somozas vs Alondras?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Somozas vs Alondras?
Our predicted score is Somozas 1–0 Alondras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Somozas vs Alondras?
Somozas vs Alondras (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CD Lugo B0
Noia0
Arosa1
Compostela5