Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoiro to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceBoiro or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.29
Boiro vs Celtiga preview and prediction
The match
Boiro host Celtiga in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 on Thursday 2 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Campo Municipal de Barraña. Boiro are 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Celtiga sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Boiro's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Barbadás 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Celtiga's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Silva 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Boiro and 0.7 for Celtiga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boiro 65%, draw 19%, Celtiga 16%.
Safer route: Boiro or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Boiro to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Boiro 1–0 Celtiga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boiro65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.40
Celtiga16%fair 6.33 · @3.80
2.38Expected goals
1.72Boiro xG
0.66Celtiga xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Boiro 1.7 – 0.7 Celtiga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boiro to win✗
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Boiro or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Boiro ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boiro / FT Boiro✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.29
–
Form
Boiro – last 6
WWDDDL
29 Mar
@ Barbadás
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Alondras
1–0
W
19 Mar
@ Polvorín
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Silva
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Cambados
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Viveiro
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Celtiga – last 4
LWWL
19 Mar
@ Silva
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Cambados
2–0
W
18 Feb
vs Estradense
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Compostela
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boiro and Celtiga.
Our pick is Boiro to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Boiro vs Celtiga?
On our numbers Boiro have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Celtiga 16%.
How many goals will there be in Boiro vs Celtiga?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boiro vs Celtiga?
Our predicted score is Boiro 1–0 Celtiga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Boiro vs Celtiga?
Boiro vs Celtiga (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Barraña.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CD Lugo B0
Noia0
Arosa1
Compostela5