Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArosa to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.89
Arosa vs Villalbés preview and prediction
The match
Villalbés travel to Estadio A Lomba in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 on Thursday 2 April (11:00 WAT) to face Arosa.
Form guide
Arosa's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Somozas 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Arosa and 0.8 for Villalbés. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arosa 59%, draw 20%, Villalbés 22%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arosa to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arosa 1–0 Villalbés. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arosa59%fair 1.71 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.25
Villalbés22%fair 4.60 · @3.90
2.39Expected goals
1.58Arosa xG
0.81Villalbés xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Arosa 1.6 – 0.8 Villalbés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arosa to win✗
59%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arosa / FT Arosa✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.89
–
Form
Arosa – last 5
WWWDW
29 Mar
vs Somozas
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Coruña
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Viveiro
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Atlético Arteixo
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Noia
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Villalbés – last 1
L
19 Mar
vs Estradense
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arosa and Villalbés.
Our pick is Arosa to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Arosa vs Villalbés?
On our numbers Arosa have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Villalbés 22%.
How many goals will there be in Arosa vs Villalbés?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arosa vs Villalbés?
Our predicted score is Arosa 1–0 Villalbés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arosa vs Villalbés?
Arosa vs Villalbés (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio A Lomba.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CD Lugo B0
Noia0
Compostela5