Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstradense to win ✓63% · @1.90
Double chanceEstradense or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.30
Estradense vs CD Lugo B preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 1 sees Estradense take on CD Lugo B on Thursday 2 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada.
Form guide
Estradense's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Villalbés 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
CD Lugo B's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Cambados 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Estradense and 0.7 for CD Lugo B. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estradense 63%, draw 20%, CD Lugo B 17%.
Safer route: Estradense or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Estradense to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estradense 1–0 CD Lugo B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estradense63%fair 1.60 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.10
CD Lugo B17%fair 5.83 · @3.75
2.35Expected goals
1.66Estradense xG
0.69CD Lugo B xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Estradense 1.7 – 0.7 CD Lugo B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estradense to win✓
63%
1.60
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Estradense or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estradense / FT Estradense✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.30
–
Form
Estradense – last 5
WWDLL
19 Mar
@ Villalbés
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Barbadás
3–2
W
8 Mar
@ Alondras
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Celta de Vigo III
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ Celtiga
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
CD Lugo B – last 5
WDLWD
22 Mar
@ Cambados
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Boiro
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Barco
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Compostela
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Somozas
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estradense and CD Lugo B.
What is the prediction for Estradense vs CD Lugo B?
Our pick is Estradense to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Estradense vs CD Lugo B?
On our numbers Estradense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and CD Lugo B 17%.
How many goals will there be in Estradense vs CD Lugo B?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estradense vs CD Lugo B?
Our predicted score is Estradense 1–0 CD Lugo B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Estradense vs CD Lugo B?
Estradense vs CD Lugo B (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Noia0
Arosa1
Compostela5