Value bet: Real Normanna to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Normanna to win ✓56% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.58
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.07
Real Normanna vs Ferrandina preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone H sees Real Normanna take on Ferrandina on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Augusto Bisceglia.
Form guide
Real Normanna's last 4: WWDD Most recently they beat Pompei 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ferrandina's last 4: DLLL Most recently they drew with Afragolese 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Real Normanna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.2 for Real Normanna and 0.6 for Ferrandina. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Normanna 56%, draw 22%, Ferrandina 22%.
Value angle: Real Normanna to win at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Real Normanna 1–0 Ferrandina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Normanna56%fair 1.77 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.10
Ferrandina22%fair 4.52 · @3.75
1.84Expected goals
1.24Real Normanna xG
0.60Ferrandina xG
37%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Real Normanna 1.2 – 0.6 Ferrandina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Normanna to win✓
56%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Normanna / FT Real Normanna✓
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.07
–
Form
Real Normanna – last 4
WWDD
15 Mar
@ Pompei
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Manfredonia
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Francavilla
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Sarnese
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ferrandina – last 4
DLLL
15 Mar
vs Afragolese
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Martina Franca
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Manfredonia
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Barletta
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Normanna and Ferrandina.
What is the prediction for Real Normanna vs Ferrandina?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Real Normanna vs Ferrandina?
On our numbers Real Normanna have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ferrandina 22%.
How many goals will there be in Real Normanna vs Ferrandina?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Normanna vs Ferrandina?
Our predicted score is Real Normanna 1–0 Ferrandina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Real Normanna vs Ferrandina?
Real Normanna vs Ferrandina (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Augusto Bisceglia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paganese3
Barletta2
Afragolese2
Città di Fasano2
Heraclea1
Sarnese1