Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti preview and prediction
The match
Castelfidardo Calcio host Chieti in the Serie D Girone F on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini.
Form guide
Castelfidardo Calcio's last 4: WLWL Most recently they beat Recanatese 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Chieti's last 4: DLWL Most recently they drew with Victor San Marino 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Castelfidardo Calcio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Castelfidardo Calcio and 1.2 for Chieti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Castelfidardo Calcio 44%, draw 22%, Chieti 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Castelfidardo Calcio 1–1 Chieti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castelfidardo Calcio44%fair 2.26 · @2.29
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Chieti34%fair 2.95 · @2.85
2.65Expected goals
1.44Castelfidardo Calcio xG
1.21Chieti xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Castelfidardo Calcio 1.4 – 1.2 Chieti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castelfidardo Calcio to win✓
44%
2.26
2.29
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.27
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castelfidardo Calcio / FT Castelfidardo Calcio✓
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.85
–
Form
Castelfidardo Calcio – last 4
WLWL
15 Mar
vs Recanatese
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Ostia Mare
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Victor San Marino
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Atletico Ascoli
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chieti – last 4
DLWL
15 Mar
vs Victor San Marino
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Atletico Ascoli
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Termoli Calcio
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ancona
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castelfidardo Calcio and Chieti.
What is the prediction for Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti?
On our numbers Castelfidardo Calcio have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chieti 34%.
How many goals will there be in Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti?
Our predicted score is Castelfidardo Calcio 1–1 Chieti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti?
Castelfidardo Calcio vs Chieti (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.