Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Atletico Ascoli to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Ascoli to win ✓68% · @1.60
Double chanceAtletico Ascoli or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13% · fair 7.44
Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone F sees Atletico Ascoli take on Maceratese on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. Atletico Ascoli are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Maceratese sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atletico Ascoli's last 4: LWDW Most recently they lost to Unipomezia 0–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Maceratese's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Termoli Calcio 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Atletico Ascoli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Atletico Ascoli and 0.7 for Maceratese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 44%.
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Ascoli to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico Ascoli 2–0 Maceratese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Ascoli68%fair 1.47 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.75
Maceratese12%fair 8.39 · @4.50
2.70Expected goals
2.00Atletico Ascoli xG
0.70Maceratese xG
44%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Ascoli 2.0 – 0.7 Maceratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Ascoli to win✓
68%
1.47
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Ascoli or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Atletico Ascoli ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Ascoli / FT Atletico Ascoli✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
13%
7.44
–
Form
Atletico Ascoli – last 4
LWDW
15 Mar
@ Unipomezia
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Chieti
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Recanatese
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Castelfidardo Calcio
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maceratese – last 3
LLW
15 Mar
vs Termoli Calcio
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Ancona
0–4
L
22 Feb
vs Notaresco
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Ascoli and Maceratese.
What is the prediction for Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?
Our pick is Atletico Ascoli to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?
On our numbers Atletico Ascoli have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Maceratese 12%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?
Our predicted score is Atletico Ascoli 2–0 Maceratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?
Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sammaurese0
Ostia Mare1
Unipomezia0
Castelfidardo Calcio1
Chieti0
Sora1