Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNotaresco to win ✓64% · @1.53
Double chanceNotaresco or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.44
Notaresco vs Sammaurese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone F sees Notaresco take on Sammaurese on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini.
Form guide
Notaresco's last 4: WDLD Most recently they beat Sora 3–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sammaurese's last 4: LWLD Most recently they lost to Fossombrone 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Notaresco and 0.8 for Sammaurese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 44%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Notaresco to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Notaresco 1–0 Sammaurese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Notaresco64%fair 1.57 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.60
Sammaurese17%fair 5.89 · @5.25
2.61Expected goals
1.83Notaresco xG
0.78Sammaurese xG
44%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Notaresco 1.8 – 0.8 Sammaurese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notaresco to win✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Double chance
Notaresco or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Notaresco ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notaresco / FT Notaresco✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.44
–
Form
Notaresco – last 4
WDLD
15 Mar
@ Sora
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Fossombrone
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Maceratese
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Vigor Senigallia
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sammaurese – last 4
LWLD
15 Mar
@ Fossombrone
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Teramo
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Vigor Senigallia
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Sora
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notaresco and Sammaurese.
What is the prediction for Notaresco vs Sammaurese?
Our pick is Notaresco to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Notaresco vs Sammaurese?
On our numbers Notaresco have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sammaurese 17%.
How many goals will there be in Notaresco vs Sammaurese?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notaresco vs Sammaurese?
Our predicted score is Notaresco 1–0 Sammaurese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Notaresco vs Sammaurese?
Notaresco vs Sammaurese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ostia Mare1
Unipomezia0
Castelfidardo Calcio1
Chieti0
Sora1