Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTermoli Calcio to win ✗38% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · fair 1.34
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.57
Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone F sees Termoli Calcio take on Fossombrone on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Gino Cannarsa. Termoli Calcio are 11th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Fossombrone sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Termoli Calcio's last 4: WDLL Most recently they beat Maceratese 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Fossombrone's last 4: WDLL Most recently they beat Sammaurese 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Termoli Calcio and 1.0 for Fossombrone. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Termoli Calcio 38%, draw 25%, Fossombrone 36%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Termoli Calcio 1–1 Fossombrone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Termoli Calcio38%fair 2.60 · @2.46
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95
Fossombrone36%fair 2.77 · @2.80
2.09Expected goals
1.07Termoli Calcio xG
1.02Fossombrone xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Termoli Calcio 1.1 – 1.0 Fossombrone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Termoli Calcio to win✗
38%
2.60
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.57
–
Form
Termoli Calcio – last 4
WDLL
15 Mar
@ Maceratese
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Vigor Senigallia
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Chieti
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Real Giulianova
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fossombrone – last 4
WDLL
15 Mar
vs Sammaurese
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Notaresco
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Ostia Mare
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Teramo
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Termoli Calcio and Fossombrone.
What is the prediction for Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?
On our numbers Termoli Calcio have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fossombrone 36%.
How many goals will there be in Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?
Our predicted score is Termoli Calcio 1–1 Fossombrone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone?
Termoli Calcio vs Fossombrone (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Gino Cannarsa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sammaurese0
Ostia Mare1
Unipomezia0
Castelfidardo Calcio1
Chieti0
Sora1