Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio prediction & analysis
75%
Footrivo pick
Either team to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · Lost ✗
8/10Rating
–Odds
2
Value bet: Montevarchi Calcio to win @ 3.09 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultScandicci to win ✗38% · @2.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · fair 1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.16
Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio preview and prediction
The match
Scandicci host Montevarchi Calcio in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale di San Casciano. Scandicci are 11th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Montevarchi Calcio sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Scandicci and 1.0 for Montevarchi Calcio. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Scandicci 38%, draw 25%, Montevarchi Calcio 38%.
Value angle: Montevarchi Calcio to win at 3.09 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 75% chance. Predicted score: Scandicci 1–0 Montevarchi Calcio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Scandicci38%fair 2.64 · @2.29
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.05
Montevarchi Calcio38%fair 2.66 · @3.09
1.94Expected goals
0.97Scandicci xG
0.97Montevarchi Calcio xG
42%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Scandicci 1.0 – 1.0 Montevarchi Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scandicci to win✗
38%
2.64
2.29
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.16
–
Form
Scandicci – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Seravezza
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Montevarchi Calcio – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Camaiore
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Orvietana Calcio
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scandicci and Montevarchi Calcio.
What is the prediction for Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 75% chance.
Who will win Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio?
On our numbers Scandicci have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Montevarchi Calcio 38%.
How many goals will there be in Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Our predicted score is Scandicci 1–0 Montevarchi Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Scandicci vs Montevarchi Calcio (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale di San Casciano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Orvietana Calcio0
Camaiore2
Foligno Calcio0
Sansepolcro1
Sporting Trestina1
Poggibonsi0
Grosseto1