Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Either team to win
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
–Odds
2
Value bet: Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano to win @ 3.54 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRobur Siena to win ✓49% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.55
Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone E sees Robur Siena take on Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena. Robur Siena are 2nd with 22 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano sit 18th on 3 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Robur Siena and 1.0 for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 44%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano to win at 3.54 – 30% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 79% chance. Predicted score: Robur Siena 1–0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Robur Siena49%fair 2.05 · @1.97
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.35
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano30%fair 3.30 · @3.54
2.32Expected goals
1.35Robur Siena xG
0.97Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Robur Siena 1.3 – 1.0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Robur Siena to win✓
49%
2.05
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Robur Siena / FT Robur Siena✓
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.55
–
Form
Robur Siena – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Sansepolcro
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Cannara
4–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Terranuova Traiana
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Robur Siena and Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.
What is the prediction for Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 79% chance.
Who will win Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
On our numbers Robur Siena have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 30%.
How many goals will there be in Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
Our predicted score is Robur Siena 1–0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
Robur Siena vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Orvietana Calcio0
Camaiore2
Foligno Calcio0
Sansepolcro1
Sporting Trestina1
Poggibonsi0
Grosseto1