Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrosseto to win ✓63% · @1.34
Double chanceGrosseto or draw ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.99
Poggibonsi vs Grosseto preview and prediction
The match
Grosseto travel to Stadio Stefano Lotti in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 1 March (14:30 WAT) to face Poggibonsi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Poggibonsi and 1.9 for Grosseto. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Poggibonsi 0–1 Grosseto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Poggibonsi15%fair 6.69 · @6.75
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.40
Grosseto63%fair 1.58 · @1.34
2.73Expected goals
0.81Poggibonsi xG
1.92Grosseto xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Poggibonsi 0.8 – 1.9 Grosseto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grosseto to win✓
63%
1.58
1.34
Double chance
Grosseto or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.79
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Half-time result
Grosseto ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grosseto / FT Grosseto✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.99
–
Form
Poggibonsi – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ San Donato Tavarnelle
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Foligno Calcio
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Grosseto – last 2
LW
22 Feb
vs Orvietana Calcio
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Tau Altopascio
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Poggibonsi and Grosseto.
What is the prediction for Poggibonsi vs Grosseto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Poggibonsi vs Grosseto?
On our numbers Poggibonsi have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grosseto 63%.
How many goals will there be in Poggibonsi vs Grosseto?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poggibonsi vs Grosseto?
Our predicted score is Poggibonsi 0–1 Grosseto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Poggibonsi vs Grosseto?
Poggibonsi vs Grosseto (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Stefano Lotti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Orvietana Calcio0
Camaiore2
Gavorrano1
Seravezza1
Terranuova Traiana2
Foligno Calcio0
Sansepolcro1
San Donato Tavarnelle1
Tau Altopascio0
Sporting Trestina1
Robur Siena4
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano1
Scandicci1
Montevarchi Calcio1