Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.21Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Donato Tavarnelle to win ✗44% · @2.41
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.33
Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone E sees Sansepolcro take on San Donato Tavarnelle on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Buitoni.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Sansepolcro and 1.2 for San Donato Tavarnelle. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sansepolcro 34%, draw 23%, San Donato Tavarnelle 44%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Sansepolcro 0–1 San Donato Tavarnelle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sansepolcro34%fair 2.95 · @2.85
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.05
San Donato Tavarnelle44%fair 2.30 · @2.41
2.15Expected goals
0.98Sansepolcro xG
1.17San Donato Tavarnelle xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sansepolcro 1.0 – 1.2 San Donato Tavarnelle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Donato Tavarnelle to win✗
44%
2.30
2.41
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.21
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Donato Tavarnelle / FT San Donato Tavarnelle✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.33
–
Form
Sansepolcro – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Robur Siena
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Prato
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Donato Tavarnelle – last 2
LD
22 Feb
vs Poggibonsi
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Gavorrano
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sansepolcro and San Donato Tavarnelle.
What is the prediction for Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
On our numbers Sansepolcro have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Donato Tavarnelle 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Our predicted score is Sansepolcro 0–1 San Donato Tavarnelle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Sansepolcro vs San Donato Tavarnelle (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Buitoni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Orvietana Calcio0
Camaiore2
Foligno Calcio0
Sporting Trestina1
Poggibonsi0
Grosseto1