Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Piacenza to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPiacenza to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chancePiacenza or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.76
Piacenza vs Pro Sesto preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone D sees Piacenza take on Pro Sesto on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Leonardo Garilli.
Form guide
Piacenza's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Trevigliese 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pro Sesto's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Pro Palazzolo 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Piacenza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Piacenza and 0.7 for Pro Sesto. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 44%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Piacenza 64%, draw 21%, Pro Sesto 15%.
Safer route: Piacenza or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Piacenza to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Piacenza or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Piacenza 1–0 Pro Sesto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piacenza64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Pro Sesto15%fair 6.64 · @3.60
2.49Expected goals
1.78Piacenza xG
0.71Pro Sesto xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Piacenza 1.8 – 0.7 Pro Sesto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piacenza to win✓
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Piacenza or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Piacenza ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piacenza / FT Piacenza✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.76
–
Form
Piacenza – last 6
WLWWWW
2 Apr
vs Trevigliese
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Lentigione
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Progresso
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Correggese
3–1
W
1 Mar
vs Tuttocuoio
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sasso Marconi Zola
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Pro Sesto – last 6
DLWLWL
2 Apr
@ Pro Palazzolo
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Imolese
2–4
L
22 Mar
@ Sangiuliano City
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Desenzano Calvina
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Coriano
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Cittadella Vis Modena
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piacenza and Pro Sesto.
Our pick is Piacenza or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Piacenza vs Pro Sesto?
On our numbers Piacenza have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pro Sesto 15%.
How many goals will there be in Piacenza vs Pro Sesto?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piacenza vs Pro Sesto?
Our predicted score is Piacenza 1–0 Pro Sesto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Piacenza vs Pro Sesto?
Piacenza vs Pro Sesto (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Leonardo Garilli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Imolese0
Desenzano Calvina1
Sasso Marconi Zola2
Rovato Vertovese1
Trevigliese1
Progresso2
Pro Palazzolo2