Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Desenzano Calvina to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDesenzano Calvina to win ✓59% · @1.62
Double chanceDesenzano Calvina or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.65
Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina preview and prediction
The match
Desenzano Calvina travel to Stadio Romeo Galli in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 19 April (14:00 WAT) to face Imolese.
Form guide
Imolese's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Cittadella Vis Modena 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Desenzano Calvina's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Coriano 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Desenzano Calvina arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Imolese and 1.6 for Desenzano Calvina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 44%.
Our pre-match pick was Desenzano Calvina to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Imolese 0–1 Desenzano Calvina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Imolese17%fair 5.97 · @5.00
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
Desenzano Calvina59%fair 1.70 · @1.62
2.39Expected goals
0.75Imolese xG
1.65Desenzano Calvina xG
44%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Imolese 0.7 – 1.6 Desenzano Calvina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Desenzano Calvina to win✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Double chance
Desenzano Calvina or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Desenzano Calvina / FT Desenzano Calvina✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
15%
6.65
–
Form
Imolese – last 5
WWLLL
2 Apr
vs Cittadella Vis Modena
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Pro Sesto
4–2
W
15 Mar
@ Sant'Angelo
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Trevigliese
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Lentigione
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Desenzano Calvina – last 6
WDWWDW
8 Apr
@ Coriano
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Rovato Vertovese
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Cittadella Vis Modena
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Pro Sesto
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Crema
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Sant'Angelo
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Imolese and Desenzano Calvina.
What is the prediction for Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina?
Our pick is Desenzano Calvina to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina?
On our numbers Imolese have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Desenzano Calvina 59%.
How many goals will there be in Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina?
Our predicted score is Imolese 0–1 Desenzano Calvina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina?
Imolese vs Desenzano Calvina (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Romeo Galli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.