Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗17% · fair 5.88
Pistoiese vs Coriano preview and prediction
The match
Coriano travel to Stadio Marcello Melani in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 19 April (14:00 WAT) to face Pistoiese. Pistoiese are 1st with 28 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Coriano sit 15th on 9 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pistoiese's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Crema 4–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Coriano's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Desenzano Calvina 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Pistoiese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.2 for Pistoiese and 0.5 for Coriano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pistoiese 78%, draw 17%, Coriano 6%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Pistoiese 3–0 Coriano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pistoiese78%fair 1.29 · @1.12
Draw17%fair 5.96 · @7.00
Coriano6%fair 17.99 · @19.00
2.68Expected goals
2.23Pistoiese xG
0.45Coriano xG
41%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–017%
1–015%
3–013%
2–18%
4–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Pistoiese 2.2 – 0.5 Coriano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pistoiese to win✗
78%
1.29
1.12
Double chance
Pistoiese or draw✗
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Pistoiese ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese✗
53%
1.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
17%
5.88
–
Form
Pistoiese – last 5
WWDWW
3 Apr
vs Crema
4–2
W
29 Mar
@ Sant'Angelo
3–1
W
25 Mar
@ Lentigione
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Correggese
3–0
W
18 Feb
vs Ancona
2–0
W
2.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Coriano – last 5
LDLDL
8 Apr
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ Sangiuliano City
3–3
D
22 Mar
@ Rovato Vertovese
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Sasso Marconi Zola
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Pro Sesto
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pistoiese and Coriano.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Pistoiese vs Coriano?
On our numbers Pistoiese have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Coriano 6%.
How many goals will there be in Pistoiese vs Coriano?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pistoiese vs Coriano?
Our predicted score is Pistoiese 3–0 Coriano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pistoiese vs Coriano?
Pistoiese vs Coriano (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Marcello Melani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Imolese0
Desenzano Calvina1
Sasso Marconi Zola2
Rovato Vertovese1
Trevigliese1
Progresso2
Pro Palazzolo2
Piacenza3