Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.69
Lentigione vs Progresso preview and prediction
The match
Lentigione host Progresso in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Immergas Stadium - Levantini.
Form guide
Lentigione's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Sasso Marconi Zola 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Progresso's last 4: WLLD Most recently they beat Tuttocuoio 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lentigione arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Lentigione and 0.5 for Progresso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 39%.
Our pre-match pick was Lentigione to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lentigione 1–0 Progresso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lentigione69%fair 1.45 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @3.60
Progresso12%fair 8.26 · @5.75
2.31Expected goals
1.78Lentigione xG
0.54Progresso xG
39%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lentigione 1.8 – 0.5 Progresso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lentigione to win✗
69%
1.45
1.50
Double chance
Lentigione or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Lentigione ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lentigione / FT Lentigione✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.69
–
Form
Lentigione – last 6
WWDDWW
2 Apr
@ Sasso Marconi Zola
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Piacenza
3–1
W
25 Mar
vs Pistoiese
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Correggese
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Pro Palazzolo
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Imolese
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Progresso – last 4
WLLD
2 Apr
@ Tuttocuoio
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Piacenza
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Sangiuliano City
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Rovato Vertovese
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lentigione and Progresso.
What is the prediction for Lentigione vs Progresso?
Our pick is Lentigione to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Lentigione vs Progresso?
On our numbers Lentigione have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Progresso 12%.
How many goals will there be in Lentigione vs Progresso?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lentigione vs Progresso?
Our predicted score is Lentigione 1–0 Progresso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lentigione vs Progresso?
Lentigione vs Progresso (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Immergas Stadium - Levantini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Imolese0
Desenzano Calvina1
Sasso Marconi Zola2
Rovato Vertovese1
Trevigliese1
Pro Palazzolo2
Piacenza3