Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLigorna to win ✓67% · @1.42
Double chanceLigorna or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.27
Ligorna vs Lavagnese preview and prediction
The match
Ligorna host Lavagnese in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna.
Form guide
Ligorna's last 4: DLWW Most recently they drew with Vado 0–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Lavagnese's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Imperia 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Ligorna and 0.6 for Lavagnese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 42%.
Our pre-match pick was Ligorna to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Ligorna 1–0 Lavagnese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ligorna67%fair 1.49 · @1.42
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.80
Lavagnese10%fair 10.27 · @6.25
2.46Expected goals
1.87Ligorna xG
0.59Lavagnese xG
42%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.9 – 0.6 Lavagnese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Ligorna ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.27
–
Form
Ligorna – last 4
DLWW
15 Mar
@ Vado
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Gozzano
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Club Milano
5–1
W
15 Feb
@ Città di Varese
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lavagnese – last 3
WLD
15 Mar
vs Imperia
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Derthona
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Saluzzo
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Lavagnese.
Our pick is Ligorna to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Ligorna vs Lavagnese?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lavagnese 10%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Lavagnese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Lavagnese?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Lavagnese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Lavagnese?
Ligorna vs Lavagnese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Club Milano2
NovaRomentin0
Città di Varese2
Vado6
Cairese1