Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Città di Varese to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCittà di Varese to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceCittà di Varese or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.73
Città di Varese vs Gozzano preview and prediction
The match
Città di Varese host Gozzano in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Franco Ossola.
Form guide
Città di Varese's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Asti 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Città di Varese and 0.8 for Gozzano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Città di Varese 58%, draw 24%, Gozzano 18%.
Safer route: Città di Varese or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Città di Varese to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Città di Varese or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Città di Varese 1–0 Gozzano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Città di Varese58%fair 1.71 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.20
Gozzano18%fair 5.54 · @3.40
2.39Expected goals
1.62Città di Varese xG
0.77Gozzano xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Città di Varese 1.6 – 0.8 Gozzano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Città di Varese to win✗
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Città di Varese or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Città di Varese / FT Città di Varese✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.73
–
Form
Città di Varese – last 4
WWLL
15 Mar
@ Asti
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Vado
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ NovaRomentin
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Ligorna
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gozzano – last 2
WD
1 Mar
@ Ligorna
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Imperia
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Città di Varese and Gozzano.
What is the prediction for Città di Varese vs Gozzano?
Our pick is Città di Varese or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Città di Varese vs Gozzano?
On our numbers Città di Varese have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gozzano 18%.
How many goals will there be in Città di Varese vs Gozzano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Città di Varese vs Gozzano?
Our predicted score is Città di Varese 1–0 Gozzano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Città di Varese vs Gozzano?
Città di Varese vs Gozzano (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Franco Ossola.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Club Milano2
NovaRomentin0
Vado6
Cairese1
Lavagnese1