Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.11 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVado to win ✓64% · @1.65
Double chanceVado or draw ✓84% · fair 1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.11
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.22
Vado vs Valenzana preview and prediction
The match
Valenzana travel to Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 22 March (15:00 WAT) to face Vado.
Form guide
Vado's last 4: DLDW Most recently they drew with Ligorna 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Valenzana's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Club Milano 3–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Vado and 0.7 for Valenzana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vado 64%, draw 20%, Valenzana 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.11.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.11 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Vado 1–0 Valenzana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vado64%fair 1.57 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.50
Valenzana16%fair 6.13 · @4.95
2.35Expected goals
1.68Vado xG
0.67Valenzana xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Vado 1.7 – 0.7 Valenzana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vado to win✓
64%
1.57
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Vado or draw✓
84%
1.20
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.11 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vado / FT Vado✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.22
–
Form
Vado – last 4
DLDW
15 Mar
vs Ligorna
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Città di Varese
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Sestri Levante
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Club Milano
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Valenzana – last 3
WLL
1 Mar
@ Club Milano
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs Saluzzo
1–4
L
15 Feb
@ Imperia
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vado and Valenzana.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vado vs Valenzana?
On our numbers Vado have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Valenzana 16%.
How many goals will there be in Vado vs Valenzana?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vado vs Valenzana?
Our predicted score is Vado 1–0 Valenzana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vado vs Valenzana?
Vado vs Valenzana (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Club Milano2
NovaRomentin0
Città di Varese2
Cairese1
Lavagnese1