Value bet: Ludogorets II to win @ 1.78 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLudogorets II to win ✓61% · @1.78
Double chanceLudogorets II or draw ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.18
Ludogorets II vs Spartak Pleven preview and prediction
The match
Ludogorets II host Spartak Pleven in the Second League on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre. Ludogorets II are 9th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Spartak Pleven sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ludogorets II's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Spartak Pleven's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Yantra 2019 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Ludogorets II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Ludogorets II and 0.8 for Spartak Pleven. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ludogorets II 61%, draw 20%, Spartak Pleven 19%.
Safer route: Ludogorets II or draw (81%) at 1.16.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.87.
Value angle: Ludogorets II to win at 1.78 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ludogorets II 1–0 Spartak Pleven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ludogorets II61%fair 1.63 · @1.78
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.35
Spartak Pleven19%fair 5.39 · @3.95
2.52Expected goals
1.73Ludogorets II xG
0.79Spartak Pleven xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ludogorets II 1.7 – 0.8 Spartak Pleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets II to win✓
61%
1.63
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Ludogorets II or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.87
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets II / FT Ludogorets II✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.18
–
Form
Ludogorets II – last 6
WWDWDD
11 May
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
3–1
W
4 May
@ Hebar 1918
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs FK Minyor Pernik
4–2
W
15 Mar
vs Fratria
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Sevlievo
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Spartak Pleven – last 6
LDWDWD
24 Apr
@ Yantra 2019
1–2
L
16 Apr
vs Fratria
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Sevlievo
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Marek
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Belasitsa
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Pirin Blagoevgrad
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ludogorets II and Spartak Pleven.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets II vs Spartak Pleven?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ludogorets II vs Spartak Pleven?
On our numbers Ludogorets II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Spartak Pleven 19%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets II vs Spartak Pleven?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets II vs Spartak Pleven?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets II 1–0 Spartak Pleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets II vs Spartak Pleven?
Ludogorets II vs Spartak Pleven (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Minyor Pernik1
Dunav Ruse2
Sevlievo3