Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.13 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFratria to win ✓66% · @1.31
Double chanceFratria or draw ✓86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.13
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.66
Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees Fratria take on Pirin Blagoevgrad on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Albena Stadium. Fratria are 4th with 25 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th on 2 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fratria's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Dunav Ruse 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Pirin Blagoevgrad's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Sportist Svoge 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Fratria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Fratria and 0.8 for Pirin Blagoevgrad. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.13 – 54% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Fratria 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fratria66%fair 1.51 · @1.31
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @4.55
Pirin Blagoevgrad14%fair 6.97 · @7.70
2.70Expected goals
1.95Fratria xG
0.75Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fratria 2.0 – 0.8 Pirin Blagoevgrad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fratria to win✓
66%
1.51
1.31
Double chance
Fratria or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.13 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.34
Half-time result
Fratria ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fratria / FT Fratria✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.66
–
Form
Fratria – last 6
DLDWDD
11 May
vs Dunav Ruse
2–2
D
4 May
@ Vihren
1–2
L
16 Apr
@ Spartak Pleven
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
3–0
W
23 Mar
@ Yantra 2019
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Ludogorets II
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 6
LDLWLL
11 May
@ Sportist Svoge
0–2
L
16 Apr
vs Hebar 1918
2–2
D
9 Apr
@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Belasitsa
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Vihren
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia II
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fratria and Pirin Blagoevgrad.
What is the prediction for Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
On our numbers Fratria have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pirin Blagoevgrad 14%.
How many goals will there be in Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our predicted score is Fratria 2–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Albena Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Minyor Pernik1
Dunav Ruse2
Sevlievo3